Let me tell you a dirty little secret about Humanitarian response.
If you are ever to be caught up in a humanitarian disaster, pray that it is god-made, not man made. There is an important distinction.
You see, the hearts of many donors, who end up giving the money for disaster response efforts, are strangely fickle at times. For instance, there is less sympathy for victims of man-made disasters like civil war, political insurrection etc than of natural disasters like hurricanes, tsunamis, earthquakes etc.
In the same vein, rapid onset disasters tend to elicit more sympathy (before the shock wears off) than long drawn out ones like say drought and famine, unless there are many dead.
All this may sound cynical and in a way it is. But it is a fact of life, albeit one that is not often spoken about, at least in polite company.
“The quality of mercy is not strain’d/ It droppeth as the gentle rain from heaven” wrote Shakespeare. But clearly he was not writing about modern disasters and response thereof.
My experience has shown me that, in our field, sympathy is not unconditional. It is influenced by geopolitical realities, just like most other elements of the development industry.
I first met this reality in a London pub ten years ago. It was a quiet Sunday night. I had arrived from Geneva where we had spent a tense four days trying to stretch the resources of a mid-level agency to cover four emergencies in different parts of the globe, all happening at the same time. To make matters worse, as we were still negotiating about who to try and save first, another disaster, an earthquake, struck Pakistan. Now we had to respond in five places.
So I arrived in London, enroute to Toronto, not only tired but greatly discouraged and feeling depressed. That is how I repaired to a nearby pub to try and wash away my feelings of impotence with alcohol. There were only five other people in the pub. Three were locals as I later learned. They were very happy to welcome me and even offered to buy me a round.
How could I say no?
As the evening grew old, we all got mellow and loud, as many good drinkers do. Lubricated by the best of British bitters, we suddenly became bosom buddies and began to confide in each other; about our work, families, hopes and desires, in that strange and trusting way known to drunks the World over. Being strangers to each other (at least I was) we could speak our deepest secrets in the knowledge that we would likely never meet again. Those were the good old days before facebook, twitter and the NSA.
I told my new friends what I did for a living and described the last week and the rare confluence of disasters that had hit the World in a short space of less than a month. To my surprise they had all heard about the disasters. Two of the men were already planning to contribute money through one of their favorite charities and another man was thinking about it.
“Which disaster will you contribute to?” I asked him.
“I will support any except Pakistan.”
I looked at him in some shock, wondering at such political incorrectness.
“Why?”
“I will not support a country that supports terrorism in my country.” This was post 911 and feelings were still very strong, so I could understand. But with time, I have come to learn that this was not the rare exception that I initially thought it was.
But this piece is about South Sudan.
The crisis in the country is about ten days old today. Agency rapid assessments of the impact are on-going but early estimates indicate over 180,000 people have been displaced so far.
The BBC has been doing a good job of highlight the plight of the displaced people as well as the frustratingly slow progress being made to start peace talks in Ethiopia and secure a ceasefire.
I am not in South Sudan myself but I would dare to estimate that tens of millions of dollars will be needed to take care of the affected people, hundreds of millions more if the weather goes bad or the peace talks fail.
Plan is already responding to this crisis and we shall be launching a series of appeals for support in the coming days. So will other agencies; with the UN playing a prominent lead role as usual.
One thing I do expect is that we shall all have difficulty in attracting the kind of support required. The common sentiment in such situations, sometimes expressed in online chat groups is: “They got themselves into this, why should we help?”
Unfortunately ‘They’ the political leaders responsible for causing this crisis are not the ones doing the suffering. As usual that role is allocated to poor women, children and the elderly – the young men having run away to escape harm or gone off to fight for one belligerent or the other.
To make matters worse, two more humanitarian disasters have escalated in neighboring Congo and the Central African Republic, with almost a million people displaced in CAR alone.
Guess what they have in common with South Sudan?
They are all man made.

Kiir and Machar in better days. How times and ambitions change!